2 Sept · 04:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1354
FormLLLLW
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1617
FormWWWWW
24%
76%
🌟Nowak goes over total as underdog 62% (37)
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 80% · 1.25· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~75 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
28%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+263
H2H44-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+263)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (44-9)