2 Sept · 04:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MS
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1375
FormLLWWL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Urban
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1557
FormLWLWW
31%
69%
🌟Urban rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (33)
Fair odds · Urban
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 57% · 1.75· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~77 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+182
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+182)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)