2 Sept · 07:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1577
FormWWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Zochniak
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1505
FormLWWLW
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rudomina🌟Rudomina covers set handicap as underdog 72% (18)
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 65% · 1.53· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+72
H2H63-38
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (63-38)