2 Sept · 06:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1276
FormWLLLL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Glanowski
JG
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1495
FormLWLLW
28%
72%
🌟Lukaszewski covers set handicap as underdog 71% (21)
Fair odds · Glanowski
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 81% · 1.24· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~74 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+219
H2H17-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+219)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-9)