2 Sept · 06:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1532
FormLWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Solilo
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1504
FormLLLWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Solilo
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 42% · 2.39· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+28
H2H6-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.