2 Sept · 08:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1331
FormLLWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Madej
MR
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1279
FormLLLLL
56%
44%
🌟Rus rarely covers set handicap as underdog 32% (25)
Fair odds · Madej
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 47% · 2.12· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+52
H2H22-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-18)