2 Sept · 09:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1350
FormLLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Slosarczyk
PS
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1367
FormLWWLL
48%
52%
🌟Slosarczyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (54)
Fair odds · Slosarczyk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 45% · 2.20· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+17
H2H9-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.