2 Sept · 08:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1492
FormWLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Gajda
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1437
FormLLLLW
56%
44%
🌟Juzek stays under total as underdog 69% (26)
Fair odds · Gajda
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+55
H2H24-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)