2 Sept · 08:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MT
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1385
FormWLWWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Trela
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1268
FormLLWLL
63%
37%
🌟Lukaszewski covers set handicap as underdog 71% (21)
Fair odds · Trela
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+117
H2H59-50
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+117)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (59-50)