2 Sept · 10:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1589
FormWWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Lebek
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1518
FormWLWLW
58%
42%
🌟Gumulinski covers set handicap as underdog 73% (22)
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+71
H2H19-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)