2 Sept · 09:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1448
FormWLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Adamus
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1452
FormLWWWW
49%
51%
🌟Juzek stays under total as underdog 69% (26)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.98· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H6-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.