2 Sept · 10:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1354
FormWLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sikon
MS
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1405
FormWWLWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Sikon
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 49% · 2.03· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+51
H2H6-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)