2 Sept · 11:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1482
FormLWLWW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Gajda
MR
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1282
FormLWLLL
71%
29%
🌟Rus rarely covers set handicap as underdog 32% (25)
Fair odds · Gajda
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~77 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+200
H2H27-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+200)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-13)