2 Sept · 12:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KW
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1615
FormWLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Wisniewski
JW
🇵🇱Jakub Witkowski
ELO 1552
FormLLLWL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Witkowski🌟Wisniewski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 19% (43)
Fair odds · Wisniewski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+63
H2H19-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-15)