2 Sept · 16:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MR
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1273
FormLLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Madej
BM
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1326
FormLLWWL
44%
56%
🌟Rus rarely covers set handicap as underdog 32% (25)
Fair odds · Madej
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.71· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+53
H2H22-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-19)