2 Sept · 15:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1442
FormWLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Adamus
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1470
FormWWWLW
47%
53%
🌟Juzek stays under total as underdog 69% (26)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+28
H2H6-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.