2 Sept · 18:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1260
FormWLLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Kowalczyk
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1374
FormWWLWW
38%
62%
🌟Kowalczyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 23% (26)
Fair odds · Kowalczyk
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 51% · 1.98· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+114
H2H12-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+114)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-11)