2 Sept · 18:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Strus
ELO 1307
FormLWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Strus
MP
🇵🇱Miroslaw Piecowski
ELO 1305
FormWWLWL
50%
50%
🌟Strus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 7% (14)
Fair odds · Strus
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 55% · 1.82· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~80 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H12-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.