2 Sept · 18:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1330
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jozala
WJ
🇵🇱Waldemar Jozala
ELO 1347
FormLLLLL
48%
52%
🌟Adach stays under total as underdog 88% (16)
Fair odds · Jozala
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+17
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.