2 Sept · 20:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1339
FormWLLLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Krupa
SK
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1508
FormWWLWW
32%
68%
🌟Adach stays under total as underdog 88% (16)
Fair odds · Krupa
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 69% · 1.44· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~75 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+169
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+169)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)