2 Sept · 23:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MP
🇵🇱Miroslaw Piecowski
ELO 1308
FormLWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kowalczyk
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1370
FormWLWWL
43%
57%
🌟Kowalczyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 23% (26)
Fair odds · Kowalczyk
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+62
H2H14-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)