2 Sept · 22:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1584
FormLLLWW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Nocun
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1382
FormLWLLW
71%
29%
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 78% · 1.29· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~74 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+202
H2H29-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+202)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-8)