2 Sept · 22:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MP
🇵🇱Milosz Piecowski
ELO 1373
FormWWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Piecowski
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1370
FormWLWWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kowalczyk🌟Piecowski goes over total as favourite 73% (22)
Fair odds · Piecowski
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.02· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H6-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.