3 Sept · 00:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KM
🇵🇱Kacper Marchlewski
ELO 1282
FormWLWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Kowalczyk
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1371
FormLWWLW
40%
60%
🌟Kowalczyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 23% (26)
Fair odds · Kowalczyk
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+89
H2H7-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-5)