2 Sept · 23:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1391
FormWLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Skorupa
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1428
FormLWLLL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Skorupa
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+37
H2H17-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.