3 Sept · 04:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇵🇱Oliwier Sokolowski
ELO 1446
FormWLWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Urban
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1524
FormWWLLW
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sokolowski🌟Urban rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (33)
Fair odds · Urban
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+78
H2H8-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-1)