3 Sept · 04:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1568
FormWWWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Nocun
KG
🇵🇱Krystian Gudzik
ELO 1487
FormWLWLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+81
H2H1-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)