3 Sept · 05:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MP
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1499
FormWWWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Paszkiewicz
AB
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1406
FormLLLWW
60%
40%
🌟Paszkiewicz covers set handicap as favourite 79% (14)
Fair odds · Paszkiewicz
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
1-3
16%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+93
H2H6-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-1)