3 Sept · 05:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1378
FormLWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Skorupa
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1426
FormWLLLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Skorupa
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+48
H2H18-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-8)