3 Sept · 07:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OS
🇵🇱Oliwier Sokolowski
ELO 1451
FormWLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sokolowski
AB
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1431
FormWWLLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Sokolowski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+20
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.