3 Sept · 06:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Klocek
ELO 1442
FormLLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Stapor
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1443
FormLWWLL
50%
50%
🌟Stapor goes over total as favourite 68% (34)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.20· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+1
H2H19-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.