3 Sept · 07:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1571
FormLWWWW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Nocun
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1369
FormLLLWL
71%
29%
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~74 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+202
H2H29-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+202)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-9)