3 Sept · 08:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1570
FormWWWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Solilo
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1487
FormWLLWL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Solilo
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 45% · 2.24· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+83
H2H7-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)