3 Sept · 07:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AM
🇵🇱Arkadiusz Mugowski
ELO 1427
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Klocek
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Klocek
ELO 1442
FormLLLWW
48%
52%
🌟Mugowski covers set handicap as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Klocek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 47% · 2.12· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.