3 Sept · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1575
FormWWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Skotniczny
PP
🇵🇱Pawel Polok
ELO 1544
FormLLLWW
53%
47%
🌟Polok stays under total as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Skotniczny
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
3-2
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+31
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.