3 Sept · 09:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1394
FormLLWWL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Lebek
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1570
FormLLLLW
31%
69%
🌟Kaczmarek covers set handicap as underdog 64% (67)
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~78 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+176
H2H55-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+176)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (55-20)