3 Sept · 08:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1641
FormWLLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Poliniewicz
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1561
FormWLLWL
59%
41%
🌟Poliniewicz goes over total as favourite 73% (15)
Fair odds · Poliniewicz
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 74% · 1.35· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+80
H2H71-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (71-18)