3 Sept · 10:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1648
FormWWLLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Poliniewicz
JG
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1503
FormWLLLW
65%
35%
🌟Poliniewicz goes over total as favourite 73% (15)
Fair odds · Poliniewicz
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+145
H2H40-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+145)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (40-27)