3 Sept · 12:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1574
FormWWLLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Kolek
AM
🇵🇱Arkadiusz Mugowski
ELO 1423
FormWLLLW
66%
34%
🔥 Underdog lean · Mugowski🌟Mugowski covers set handicap as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Kolek
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 74% · 1.36· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~78 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+151
H2H11-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+151)