3 Sept · 14:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1574
FormLWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jadach
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1580
FormWLWLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 43% · 2.31· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+6
H2H9-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.