3 Sept · 15:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1574
FormLWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Skotniczny
PP
🇵🇱Pawel Polok
ELO 1554
FormWWWLL
52%
48%
🌟Polok stays under total as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Skotniczny
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+20
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.