3 Sept · 15:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JB
🇵🇱Josef Braun
ELO 1780
FormWWWLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Braun
KW
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1606
FormLLLWL
68%
32%
Fair odds · Braun
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 72% · 1.40· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+174
H2H18-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+174)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-8)