Marcin Kowalczyk vs Karol Sulkowski — TT Elite Series

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03 Sep · 18:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk

ELO 1380

3-2Final setsKowalczyk won

🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski

ELO 1332

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kowalczyk at 51%. The actual result was Marcin Kowalczyk 3-2 — the pick was correct.

Marcin Kowalczyk — profile →Karol Sulkowski — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Marcin Kowalczyk favoured — closing 1.7

Favourite won

Total 75.5

90 points played

Over

Set handicap

Marcin Kowalczyk −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Marcin Kowalczyk −1.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

5.2

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Kowalczyk is favoured to win, below means Karol Sulkowski.

▲ Marcin Kowalczykpre 55% → final 90%

Karol Sulkowski ▼

Biggest swing 56 ptsKowalczyk recovered from 42%72 points · 5 games