3 Sept · 23:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MT
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1377
FormWLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Trela
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1332
FormLWWLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Trela
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.02· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+45
H2H12-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)