3 Sept · 23:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1251
FormWLLLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Rolak
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1370
FormLWLWW
37%
63%
🌟Rolak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (24)
Fair odds · Rolak
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+119
H2H8-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+119)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)