3 Sept · 22:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1594
FormLWLWL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Adamus
GJ
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1378
FormLLWLL
72%
28%
🌟Jurowicz stays under total as underdog 62% (24)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 69% · 1.44· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~77 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+216
H2H38-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+216)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (38-18)