3 Sept · 22:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MW
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1469
FormLWWLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Nocun
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1574
FormWLWLW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+105
H2H12-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-6)