3 Sept · 22:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1401
FormWLLWL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1605
FormWLWLL
29%
71%
🌟Kaczmarek covers set handicap as underdog 65% (69)
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~77 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+204
H2H32-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+204)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-2)