3 Sept · 23:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1357
FormLLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Skorupa
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1428
FormLWLLW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Skorupa
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+71
H2H19-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-8)