4 Sept · 02:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1588
FormLLWLW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Adamus
GJ
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1385
FormLWLLL
71%
29%
🌟Jurowicz stays under total as underdog 62% (24)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~75 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+203
H2H39-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+203)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (39-18)